National Center for Hydrology and Meteorology

Medium Range Weather Forecast

Medium Range Weather Forecast for Bhutan

Medium Range Weather Forecasting (MRWF) provides weather information beyond 72 hours and up to 240 hours (3-10 days). The National Center for Hydrology and Meteorology (NCHM) will issue the MRWF every Friday on the website www.nchm.gov.bt, comprising of Maximum and Minimum Temperature (deg C) and 24 hour accumulated Rainfall (mm) for next 10 days.

MRWF for Bhutan is prepared with the support from the National Center for Medium Range Weather Forecasting (NCMRWF), Government of India. NCMRWF Unified Model (NCUM) global Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) system has been used for medium-range weather prediction at NCMRWF since 2012. NCMRWF runs two NCUM models; one global model’ which run at a resolution of 12 km with hybrid 4D-Var Data Assimilation(atmosphere) and Extended Kalman Filter based Land Data Assimilation and other Regional model, which runs at a resolution of 4 km with 4D- Var Data Assimilation.

Day/Date of issue: Wednesday, 14 February, 2024

Time of issue: 4:00 PM

Summary: Weather forecast for next 10 days

Temperature

The maximum temperature across the country is likely to increase in the next 10 days. The average maximum temperature in the southern and northern parts of the country are likely to be 25 °C, and 6°C respectively.

The minimum temperature across the country is likely to remain the same in the next 10 days. Southern and northern parts of the country are likely to experience average minimum temperatures of 12 °C and -2°C respectively.

Rainfall

Rainfall in the country on 22nd and 23rd February. The intensity is likely to decrease after 23rd February.

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Medium Ranger Weather Forecast issued on 14 February, 2024