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National Center for Hydrology and Meteorology


Background:

Extended Range Prediction (ERP) for Bhutan is prepared with the support from the Indian Meteorological Department (IMD), Government of India. The model used for the system is CFSv2 coupled model (Atmospheric and Ocean model) which runs once every week (Wednesday), with the 16 Ensemble Members at a horizontal resolution of around 25 km, and the products are made available the next day (Thursday). Therefore, the ERP products for Bhutan will be generated every Friday. ERP for Bhutan is carried out for two climate variables, rainfall and temperature. Generally, the forecast output is produced on a weekly basis for a period of a month for both the variables. The current products available from NCHM are on pilot basis which needs further studies and validation with the ground observations until the product is fully operationalized.

Issued Date: 25th November 2022

Forecast Date: 25 November 2022 - 22 December 2022

Summary

● The rainfall is likely to be below normal for all the weeks.

● The maximum temperature is likely to be above normal for all the weeks.

● The minimum temperature is likely to be above normal for all the weeks.

Click here to download Extended Range Prediction issued on 25th November, 2022

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Extended Range Prediction issued on 18th November, 2022
Extended Range Prediction issued on 11th November, 2022
Extended Range Prediction issued on 04th November, 2022
Extended Range Prediction issued on 28th October, 2022
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Extended Range Prediction issued on 28th January, 2022
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Extended Range Prediction issued on 14th January, 2022
Extended Range Prediction issued on 07th January, 2022